UT Austin COVID-19 Modeling Consortium
An interdisciplinary network of researchers and health professionals building models to detect, project, and combat COVID-19
View the latest COVID-19 Projections
The UT COVID-19 Modeling Consortium unites scientists, social scientists, and engineers in developing innovative models that advance the surveillance, forecasting and mitigation of this unprecedented and elusive threat. Led by Professor Lauren Ancel Meyers, the consortium is actively supporting community workers and health professionals on the front line of the fight against COVID-19 and providing decision-support analyses for local, state and national leaders striving to protect the health and well-being of our society.
To learn more about UT COVID-19 Modeling Consortium models and research please visit our Publications and Projections webpages.
COVID-19 Modeling Consortium News
Hoping for a COVID-19 antiviral that limits virus spread
As the COVID-19 pandemic claims hundreds of thousands of lives and wreaks economic havoc worldwide, scientists are racing to develop antivirals that reduce the fatality of the disease. LEARN MORE
COVID-19 Drug Development Could Benefit from Approach Used Against Flu
A new study from researchers at The University of Texas at Austin has found that some antivirals are useful for more than helping sick people get better — they also can prevent thousands of deaths and hundreds of thousands of virus cases if used in the early stages of infection. LEARN MORE
For Each Day’s Delay in Social Distancing, a COVID-19 Outbreak Lasts Days Longer
A new analysis of COVID-19 outbreaks in 58 cities has found that places that took longer to begin implementing social distancing measures spent more time with the virus rapidly spreading than others that acted more quickly. LEARN MORE
Updated: New Model Forecasts When States, Cities Likely to See Peak in COVID-19 Deaths
Researchers at The University of Texas at Austin have released a model that projects COVID-19 deaths for all 50 U.S. states using geolocation data from cellphones to determine the impact of social distancing within each state is showing it may be weeks until deaths peak for many states and metropolitan areas. LEARN MORE
New Model Forecasts 9 States Likely to See Peak in COVID-19 Deaths by End of April
Researchers at The University of Texas at Austin have released a model that provides a daily estimate of fatalities from COVID-19 in the United States for the coming weeks LEARN MORE
Pandemic Model Shows Importance of Social Distancing in 22 Texas Cities
A new pandemic model of COVID-19 shows the positive role social distancing can play in preventing the spread of the illness in areas across the state. LEARN MORE
Coronavirus Spreads Quickly and Sometimes Before People Have Symptoms, Study Finds
Infectious disease researchers at The University of Texas at Austin studying the novel coronavirus were able to identify how quickly the virus can spread, a factor that may help public health officials in their efforts at containment. LEARN MORE
Researchers Say Spread of Coronavirus Extends Far Beyond China’s Quarantine Zone
Infectious disease researchers at The University of Texas at Austin and other institutions in Hong Kong, mainland China and France have concluded there is a high probability that the deadly Wuhan coronavirus spread beyond Wuhan and other quarantined cities before Chinese officials were able to put a quarantine in place. LEARN MORE